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Black Friday in July: the 90-day playbook to ship November right
When to forecast, when to receive inventory, when to swap carriers. Calendar and checklists for a clean Q4.
July — Forecast and lock rates
Build the unit-level Q4 forecast in the first week of July. Lock carrier peak rates by end of July; anything signed in October will cost 12–18% more. Get factories on the calendar.
August — Receive
Inventory should land at the warehouse no later than first week of October. Anything later and you risk being stuck on the dock through Black Friday. Cycle count weekly through August and September.
September–November — Drill
Run a peak-day simulation on a normal Monday in October. Pull picks, validate ship times, scan-test the WMS. Find the breakage in October, not November.
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